Libertarian Commentary #16-13B, by Nathan Barton
Despite our most fervent wishes, neither the GOP nor the Democratic Party are collapsing yet. With “just” seven months left in the race for choosing the new Massa, prospects for change in the Fifty States are nil. No matter how much screaming there is from the fanatics on both of the old parties.
Has the Sanders campaign been revived? According to ABC News, victories in Washington (a big Tranzi state), Alaska and Hawai’i, signify that Miz Hillary may be in more trouble than most analysts have thought. It makes the Democratic Party seem a lot more like the GOP, which is seemingly ripping itself apart, not just with the squabble between Cruz and Trump (as reported by World Net Daily) in all its fuss and feathers, but the GOP establishment fearful of both of the front-leaders. Honestly, could it happen to a better bunch of people?
I’ve spent a fair amount of time trying to explain to friends on both “extremes” of the standard political spectrum, conservative and liberal, that it doesn’t really matter WHO gets to be Massa; they are all pretty much going to do the same thing for about 95% of the time, and the 5% may be “sizzle” but not much more.
I’ve also spent time saying that, hopeful claims to the contrary, neither the GOP nor the Democratic Party is likely to collapse.
Yes, there has been claims of that going back months, and lots in recent days. For instance, the New Republic claiming the GOP is doomed (unless, of course, they “avoid being radicals” or “extremists”). And the New York TImes sniveling and fearing that Sanders is destroying the Democratic Party. This fear is apparently strong in the hearts of the Democratic establishment, according to Politico. But it ain’t gonna happen: the members, both the “establishment” leadership and much of the rank and file, have too much benefit from having the parties to divide up both the spoils and the blame, and breed fear in the electorate, to let them sink. “Evolve,” maybe, but I don’t think that they are going to go away.
So it is politics as usual, and although the downslide continues, it is going to take a MUCH bigger shock to the system to truly bring it crashing down. Far more likely for the forms to continue to exist and be mistaken for reality.
What does that mean for lovers of liberty? Basically, more time to prepare for when things DO come crashing down; when the dozen or so major trends all peak at the same time, and economic troubles and political troubles combine with growing unrest and new invasions (real or imagined) and everything drops in the pot (or if you prefer, the balloon goes up). No one can predict that (and the rise in “end-time” prophesies is amazing here in the last few months) happening on some certain date or range of dates, but it seems inevitable. So preparation for family and friends and communities can and must go on. In particular, we don’t need to let our brains be fried and our efforts wasted in supporting this or that candidate, either at the national or state level: save those resources (including precious time) and use them to be prepared for whatever sort of mess the Fifty States, or your own state, stampede into.
Trying to change the course of national politics in any meaningful way in 2016 is like trying to divert that stampede of buffalo headed for the cliff: very unlikely if not impossible. Far better to prepare to go to the bottom of that buffalo jump and harvest the meat and hides after they jump.
Mama’s Note: Somehow I can’t quite picture any of that being fit to use, let alone eat. But I’ll light the match to cremate it all.